Fiscal Cliff, Slope, or Obstacle Course?

The financial media is filled with year-end dire warnings of catastrophic consequences of the U.S. economy falling over the “fiscal cliff”. Could this really happen? It could, but probably not. We and most market watchers are hopeful for a last minute compromise with more details to come in 2013. Is the fiscal cliff real? Yes-.. read more →

How Bad Is It?

As we expected, the volatility of the market to the downside is testing everyone’s patience. The market continues to go down as the confidence in leadership to get a deal done on our debt situation wanes. Just two months ago it appeared the market liked the idea of a Republican led team as polls favored.. read more →

Climbing the Wall of Worry!

This week is the one year anniversary of the rating downgrade of U.S. government debt. America had AAA rating for over 70 years, and last year’s downgrade brought warnings from many that the interest rates on U.S. government debt would be rise and inflation would begin to rise. Those fears did not come true. Since.. read more →

Emerging Markets Are Not Europe

We continue to see the Emerging market stocks get beat up as the global economy has cooled and the U.S. and European debt problems percolate every day. We believe that current headlines and TV talking heads are preventing investors from taking the long-term view on this important asset class. So… let’s step back and gain.. read more →

Deleveraging –> Baby Steps For Now!

Leveraging did not occur overnight, and the process of “deleveraging” government balance sheets will not happen overnight either. In the aftermath of 2008, the U.S. government recapitalized banks and invested in our auto companies to prevent a financial meltdown and massive layoffs in our manufacturing base. These investments have largely been paid back in full, with.. read more →

Managing Through Up and Down Markets

During the last 60 trading days, the S&P 500 Index has had 37 days of intra-day price swings of more than 2%. There have been both up days (up 11% since October 4th) and down days (down 18% prior to October 3rd), though unfortunately, more down days as of late. Sailors sometimes need to navigate.. read more →

WHY INVESTORS ARE AFRAID AND MAD AS HELL!

FEAR and ANGER are the two dominant attitudes of the average American investor today and rightly so. You are fearful about your future and angry at those who are responsible and not doing anything about it. No two ways about it, the psyche of the average investor today has changed and this could be a.. read more →

Step Away From the Ledge

Hi Everyone, As we see the recent increase in volatility continue I want to assure you we are evaluating our next move(s) every day, hour, and it seems like minute. Straight forward, no B.S., this is a governance issue! If our politicians (both sides of the aisle) would have put forth a good, legitimate plan.. read more →

Deadlines, Debt Limits, and EARNINGS

Minnesota’s shutdown and the current negotiations in Washington, D.C. surrounding the debt ceiling have been capturing the national and market headlines in recent weeks. They highlight the potential risks of a “policy error” that could severely impact the markets. A potential default by the U.S. Treasury or even a delay in payments could send markets.. read more →

Japan

We want to let you know we are watching with great interest what is happening in Japan. As most of you know we look at this potentially catastrophic event as if the glass is “half full” not half empty! We look at almost all of these types of events as opportunities. History shows that when.. read more →